Sunday, December 2, 2018

One in Forty

An article published in the December 2018 issue of the journal Pediatrics indicates that the current rate of autism in the United States is 1 in 40 children. “The Prevalence of Parent-Reported Autism Spectrum Disorder Among U.S. Children” details research led by Michael D. Kogan, Ph.D. and his colleagues at the Office of Epidemiology and Research at the Health Resources and Services Administration’s Maternal and Child Health Bureau. [To read this article, please click here.] Their study analyzed parent survey data from the 2016 National Survey of Children’s Health and included 43,283 children 3-17 years old.

For this survey, parents were asked if a doctor and/or another health care provider had ever told them that their child had autism. The parents were also asked if their children currently had autism. Of the parents surveyed, 2.5% responded that their children had received an autism diagnosis from a medical professional and still had autism. This translates into approximately 1.5 million children in the United States with autism. In addition, the data showed that boys are 3.5 times more likely than girls to have autism.

In comparing this survey to other similar surveys regarding autism prevalence, the researchers noted that the National Health Interview Survey yielded similar statistics. The results of the Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring Network (ADDM), which were reported in April of this year, showed a lower rate of autism: 1.7% of children with autism, or 1 in 59 children. Dr. Kogan’s team notes that the ADDM survey focused only on eight-year-old children in eleven communities in 2014, whereas their research covers a wider range of ages across the country in a more recent survey.

In addition to citing the increase in the rate of autism in the United States, the researchers emphasize that children with autism have greater health needs than typical children. Specifically, 83% of children with autism have at least one health condition, such as asthma, eczema, gastrointestinal issues, or seizures, accompanying autism. Furthermore, they found that children with autism are more likely than other children with behavioral, developmental, or emotional disorders to have seen a specialist and to have received mental health counseling, early intervention, and special education services.

However, finding proper care for children with autism proves difficult, the researchers discovered. The survey indicated that parents were 44% more likely to have difficulty getting mental health treatment for their children with autism. Moreover, children with autism are 46% less likely to receive needed mental health care. The researchers also found that 64% of the children with autism had received behavioral therapy in the past twelve months. In addition, 27% of the children with autism took medications for symptoms such as anxiety, irritability, and hyperactivity.

Aside from a lack of mental health care availability, the researchers also noted problems finding a “medical home” for each child with autism. They defined medical home as having five criteria, all of which must be met for the patient: a personal doctor or nurse, a usual place for sick care, no problems getting referrals, family-centered care, and effective care coordination. Their survey indicated that children with autism were 23% less likely to have a medical home, and 24% were less likely to have their care coordinated. Clearly, having professionals work together to improve the child’s physical and mental health is crucial in autism, but more coordination of services must be done.

As the researchers state, autism rates have been increasing over the past thirty to forty years. Other studies have demonstrated the significant rise in the number of children diagnosed with autism. Specifically, the rate of autism in the United States has gone from 1 in 5000 in 1975 to 1 in 2500 in 1985 to 1 in 500 in 1995 to 1 in 250 in 2001 to 1 in 166 in 2004 to 1 in 110 in 2009 to 1 in 88 in 2012. This new research now makes another leap to 1 in 40 in 2016. The researchers speculate that the increase is due to better and earlier diagnosis, broader diagnostic criteria for autism, greater parental awareness, and some increased risk factors, such as older parents.

The sudden increase in numbers of children with autism poses a financial hardship as well as difficulties noted in finding proper physical and mental health care. The researchers indicated that the cost of providing proper health care and non-health care for a child with autism is $17,081 greater per year than for a typical child. Moreover, the researchers cited data from 2011 indicating that the total societal cost of caring for children with autism in the United States was estimated to be $11.5 billion per year. Considering the number of children in the U.S. has doubled or tripled since then, the cost of caring for them would also significantly rise.

The researchers conclude their article as follows: “Because ASD [autism spectrum disorder] is a lifelong condition for most children, an important area of future research would be to study life course development and understand what factors influence health and well-being in young adulthood and beyond for these children.” Well, the good news is that they will probably have a lot of people with autism available to study, especially if the rates keep increasing dramatically. The bad news is that they will get no closer to finding the cause of autism if they continue to stick with the better diagnosis/greater awareness/increased diagnostic criteria reasoning. At what point will the medical profession declare we have a health care crisis as more and more children are diagnosed with autism, a lifelong condition?

Instead of just counting the number of children with autism and admitting they need better access to care, researchers need to figure out the true causes of autism. For example, what roles do environmental toxins, such as heavy metals, play in autism? Furthermore, instead of denying that vaccines cause autism, perhaps an unbiased reexamination of their effects upon children should be taken. One only need to see that the dramatic increase in autism follows the dramatic increase in the number of vaccines recommended by the CDC for children between birth and five years of age. In 1962, only three shots were recommended, but in 1983, ten shots were advised. The 2018 CDC Recommended Immunization Schedule now includes 38 shots.

The researchers who proclaim the new rate of autism is 1 in 40 American children never address the possibility that environmental toxins or the increased rate of vaccines may be related to autism. Until doctors and researchers are willing to consider all possible causes of autism and seek ways to make our children with autism healthier, we can anticipate that the autism rates will likely go higher. We can only hope and pray that our merciful God will save us and our children from this calamity, for He can heal what humans cannot.


“From six calamities He will rescue you; in seven no harm will touch you.” Job 5:19

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